2024 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

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Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.86	-32.1	-2.8	2542	-0.5	44.5	-45.0	1.02	-0.5	0.0	-0.5%	22.3%	-22.8%	.85	-0.3%	-14.0	-0.9	0.96	-2.9	67	40	97
Atlanta Braves	3.87	34.4	4.0	2386	5.9	41.3	-35.4	.96	7.1	-0.9	4.0%	28.1%	-24.0%	1.09	-0.5%	55.5	6.3	0.93	78.4	59	41	84
Baltimore Orioles	3.62	32.5	3.8	2399	6.3	44.2	-37.9	1.03	6.4	-0.3	4.6%	29.6%	-25.0%	1.14	0.2%	61.0	7.0	0.91	67.0	74	57	85
Boston Red Sox	4.03	38.5	4.3	2481	3.4	42.6	-39.1	.99	5.7	-2.3	1.9%	23.4%	-21.5%	.91	-1.3%	44.0	4.8	0.92	65.2	69	46	76
Chicago Cubs	4.55	4.7	1.0	2559	1.7	47.7	-46.0	1.08	2.9	-1.4	1.3%	31.1%	-29.8%	1.17	-0.7%	9.7	1.5	0.95	25.0	84	42	77
Chicago White Sox	5.25	-52.8	-5.0	2611	-5.8	41.1	-46.9	.96	-4.4	-1.7	-0.5%	6.2%	-6.7%	.24	-0.3%	-50.3	-4.6	0.96	-50.3	73	50	97
Cincinnati Reds	4.14	21.8	2.3	2540	2.3	41.9	-39.6	.96	2.5	-0.1	0.8%	19.4%	-18.5%	.74	-0.4%	36.8	3.9	0.94	35.0	68	53	86
Cleveland Guardians	3.68	31.0	3.6	2418	5.7	45.4	-39.7	1.03	4.1	1.4	4.2%	32.1%	-28.0%	1.21	1.0%	57.0	6.4	0.92	47.2	89	50	91
Colorado Rockies	5.64	-38.8	-3.5	2597	-5.3	42.7	-48.0	1.00	-3.2	-2.1	-1.9%	8.3%	-10.2%	.33	-3.9%	-47.5	-3.9	0.96	-30.7	66	43	82
Detroit Tigers	4.34	10.2	1.3	2463	2.4	42.9	-40.5	.98	3.0	-0.6	1.4%	24.4%	-23.0%	.93	-0.3%	17.0	2.1	0.94	38.5	71	37	82
Houston Astros	4.34	-12.1	-0.8	2560	1.3	41.8	-40.5	.95	0.6	0.8	0.1%	14.7%	-14.7%	.57	-0.3%	11.8	1.7	0.95	11.7	56	50	97
Kansas City Royals	3.80	33.8	3.8	2465	4.6	44.0	-39.4	1.01	4.8	-0.2	2.8%	29.5%	-26.7%	1.13	-0.3%	44.6	4.9	0.95	53.2	68	45	90
Los Angeles Angels	4.94	-23.0	-2.1	2538	-0.5	39.8	-40.4	.91	-0.1	-0.5	-0.7%	13.6%	-14.3%	.52	-1.0%	-19.2	-1.5	0.94	-0.6	53	46	96
Los Angeles Dodgers	3.53	53.2	5.6	2511	7.8	41.4	-33.6	.91	8.4	0.1	5.5%	29.1%	-23.7%	1.07	0.1%	83.2	8.9	0.91	93.4	61	54	89
Miami Marlins	5.08	-19.2	-1.5	2573	-1.7	40.4	-42.1	.94	0.8	-2.6	-1.1%	7.5%	-8.5%	.30	-4.2%	-18.9	-1.3	0.97	6.6	61	49	106
Milwaukee Brewers	3.94	35.1	3.8	2485	5.8	44.2	-38.3	1.02	4.3	1.5	4.2%	31.4%	-27.2%	1.20	0.9%	44.1	4.8	0.94	39.3	77	52	81
Minnesota Twins	4.42	-16.1	-1.3	2435	2.0	38.5	-36.6	.90	1.7	0.4	0.9%	22.5%	-21.6%	.88	0.0%	4.5	0.9	0.91	19.6	66	42	91
New York Mets	4.89	-32.0	-2.9	2558	-0.9	46.2	-47.2	1.12	-0.3	-0.6	0.1%	21.0%	-20.9%	.83	0.2%	-9.8	-0.7	0.97	4.8	87	44	75
New York Yankees	3.27	70.9	7.6	2508	9.8	47.4	-37.6	1.05	7.0	2.3	6.6%	32.0%	-25.4%	1.18	1.4%	88.8	9.6	0.94	78.1	70	49	79
Oakland Athletics	4.71	-24.0	-2.1	2591	0.1	41.2	-41.1	.94	-1.1	1.1	-0.3%	15.2%	-15.6%	.58	0.2%	-19.4	-1.6	0.97	-11.2	69	50	89
Philadelphia Phillies	3.41	68.3	7.5	2459	10.7	45.9	-35.3	1.05	8.8	1.3	6.3%	27.5%	-21.2%	1.03	0.8%	86.2	9.6	0.91	99.1	79	40	73
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.39	12.6	1.5	2521	4.2	46.7	-42.4	1.06	1.9	2.1	1.9%	24.7%	-22.9%	.94	0.9%	22.8	2.6	0.94	26.5	82	41	79
San Diego Padres	4.15	4.9	0.7	2586	1.5	40.4	-38.9	.89	3.2	-1.5	0.7%	23.4%	-22.7%	.86	-1.0%	28.3	3.2	0.93	39.6	56	53	105
Seattle Mariners	3.73	14.9	1.8	2431	4.0	39.3	-35.3	.93	6.1	-1.8	2.2%	24.0%	-21.7%	.94	-1.3%	41.0	4.7	0.90	65.5	68	36	96
San Francisco Giants	4.68	-34.0	-2.7	2577	1.3	42.3	-41.0	.98	0.3	1.1	0.4%	21.4%	-21.0%	.83	0.3%	-8.1	0.0	0.96	2.2	56	70	98
St. Louis Cardinals	4.65	-6.4	-0.4	2432	1.1	42.8	-41.7	1.01	0.4	0.7	0.3%	19.9%	-19.6%	.79	0.3%	-2.7	-0.1	0.95	6.4	65	61	75
Tampa Bay Rays	4.78	-31.9	-3.0	2540	1.3	46.1	-44.7	1.07	0.2	1.1	0.5%	21.9%	-21.4%	.85	0.4%	-4.5	-0.2	0.93	3.8	95	48	71
Texas Rangers	4.22	1.2	0.7	2462	4.1	42.8	-38.6	.99	4.6	-0.4	2.1%	25.2%	-23.1%	.98	-0.5%	25.9	3.6	0.94	49.6	69	39	84
Toronto Blue Jays	4.50	-16.3	-1.4	2458	2.5	39.6	-37.1	.91	-0.7	3.5	0.8%	17.8%	-17.0%	.68	1.4%	-2.9	0.1	0.93	-12.7	45	57	107
Washington Nationals	4.30	2.0	0.7	2480	0.9	41.3	-40.5	.96	1.3	-0.4	0.1%	19.4%	-19.2%	.75	-0.7%	16.8	2.2	0.95	19.6	66	57	95
League Average	4.32	4	1	2506	3	43	-40	.99	3	0	2%	22%	-21%	.85	0%	19	2	0	29	69	48	88
	4.32	131.3	24.3	75166	76.0	1286.3	-1210.3	.99	75.9	1.1	48.6%	666.5%	-617.9%	.85	11.6%	581.9	73.8	0.94	867.0	2069	1442	2633
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo